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Quintanar del Rey vs CD Tarancon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quintanar del Rey host CD Tarancon in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Quintanar del Rey have averaged 1.35 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against CD Tarancon's 1.67 scored and 0.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Quintanar del Rey have won 5 to CD Tarancon's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.25, favoring CD Tarancon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Quintanar del Rey
30%
Draws
47%
CD Tarancon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Tarancon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Quintanar del Rey.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Tarancon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Quintanar del Rey have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 19%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quintanar del Rey CD Tarancon
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 13 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.35 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Quintanar del Rey
0:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs CD Tarancon
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Quintanar del Rey
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs CD Tarancon
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quintanar del Rey 16 / 100
CD Tarancon 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quintanar del Rey CD Tarancon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quintanar del Rey scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

CD Tarancon has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Quintanar del Rey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quintanar del Rey VS CD Tarancon
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quintanar del Rey

(Home)
10 Oct
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
04 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 2
CD Villa
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 7

CD Tarancon

(Away)
10 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 0
Socuellamos
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)