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Quixada vs Guarani de Juazeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Wed, Nov 18, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Fares Lopes. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Quixada at 1.29 goals for, 1.29 against; Guarani de Juazeiro at 0.97 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Quixada slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2025, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.44, favoring Quixada. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Quixada
15%
Draws
59%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Quixada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Quixada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani de Juazeiro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Quixada Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Cearense 2
Quixada vs Guarani de Juazeiro
5:2
Feb 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixada
0:2
Feb 27, 2016 Cearense
Quixada vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:2
Feb 3, 2016 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixada
1:0
Mar 14, 2015 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixada
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada 31 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Juazeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quixada scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Guarani de Juazeiro let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Quixada stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quixada VS Guarani de Juazeiro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada

(Home)
01 Nov
Quixada
0 : 5
Icasa
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
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Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
07 Nov
Icasa
4 : 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)