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Quixada vs Terra e Mar

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Renan
58'
Renan
59' Event
Gleryston
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Quixada advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Quixada
15%
Draws
57%
Terra e Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terra e Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quixada come out ahead of Terra e Mar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Quixada's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Quixada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Quixada, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Quixada have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Quixada Clean Sheet 19%
Terra e Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada Terra e Mar
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.42 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Cearense 3
Quixada vs Terra e Mar
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Cearense 3
Terra e Mar vs Quixada
0:5
Jun 29, 2024 Cearense 3
Quixada vs Terra e Mar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada 36 / 100
Terra e Mar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada Terra e Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terra e Mar has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Quixada's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Terra e Mar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quixada VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 7

Terra e Mar

(Away)
11 Aug
Quixada
1 : 0
Terra e Mar
03 Aug
Terra e Mar
0 : 5
Quixada
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
20 Jul
Terra e Mar
2 : 4
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Quixada 6
Terra e Mar 0
Esporte Limoeiro 0
Crato 1
Final
Quixada 2
Crato 0