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Quorn vs Alfreton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pennant T.
50' Event
Friend J.
56' Event
Pennant T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Quorn and Alfreton finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quorn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Quorn
35%
Draws
32%
Alfreton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Quorn haven't matched Alfreton's recent run of results.
  • Quorn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Quorn Clean Sheet 16%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quorn Alfreton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Quorn vs Alfreton
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennant T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Friend J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quorn 84 / 100
Alfreton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quorn Alfreton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quorn scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alfreton has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Quorn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quorn VS Alfreton
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quorn

(Home)
06 Nov
Quorn
4 : 0
Alfreton
31 Oct
Quorn
3 : 2
Warrington Town
27 Oct
United of Manchester
1 : 1
Quorn
24 Oct
Kettering
6 : 2
Quorn
13 Oct
Hyde
2 : 2
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

Alfreton

(Away)
06 Nov
Quorn
4 : 0
Alfreton
31 Oct
Alfreton
2 : 1
AFC Emley
24 Oct
Mickleover
1 : 2
Alfreton
17 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 1
Warrington Town
13 Oct
Ashton United
0 : 0
Alfreton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 18 11 5 2 41:19 38
2 Curzon Ashton 18 12 1 5 32:18 37
3 Cleethorpes 17 11 3 3 34:10 36
4 Guiseley 16 10 3 3 34:16 33
5 Avro 18 10 2 6 42:34 32
6 Warrington Rylands 17 9 3 5 31:24 30
7 Workington 18 9 3 6 31:27 30
8 Bury FC 16 9 2 5 32:18 29
9 Gainsborough 17 9 2 6 33:24 29
10 Warrington Town 17 8 5 4 31:24 29
11 Alfreton 18 7 2 9 23:25 23
12 AFC Emley 18 6 5 7 21:29 23
13 Quorn 17 5 6 6 33:35 21
14 Lancaster 18 6 3 9 20:31 21
15 Whitby 18 6 1 11 24:47 19
16 Stockton 18 5 3 10 26:31 18
17 Hyde 17 5 3 9 19:32 18
18 Ashton United 17 4 5 8 19:21 17
19 Leek Town 17 4 5 8 34:39 17
20 Ilkeston 18 4 1 13 13:38 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 18 2 5 11 18:42 11
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