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Quorn vs Ashton United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Johnson J.
64' Event
Hardy J.
73' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Quorn
20%
Draws
40%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Quorn haven't matched Ashton United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Quorn's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Quorn Clean Sheet 10%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quorn Ashton United
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Quorn vs Ashton United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ashton United Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quorn 47 / 100
Ashton United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quorn Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashton United has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Quorn found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Quorn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quorn VS Ashton United
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quorn

(Home)
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
03 Oct
Bamber Bridge
2 : 4
Quorn
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2
Leamington
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0
Quorn
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

Ashton United

(Away)
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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