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Quorn vs Whitby

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Friend J.
34' Event
Hickman C.
36' Event
Hickman C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Quorn and Whitby finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Whitby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Quorn
15%
Draws
42%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Whitby haven't matched Quorn's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Quorn a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Quorn Clean Sheet 11%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quorn Whitby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Quorn vs Whitby
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Friend J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berridge T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Whitby Compare

Top Goalscorer Hickman C.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Rose S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quorn 83 / 100
Whitby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quorn Whitby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Quorn scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Whitby conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Whitby has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quorn VS Whitby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Quorn

(Home)
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0
Quorn
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1
Quorn
04 Sept
Quorn
2 : 1
Shepshed
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Quorn
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6
Whitby
Page 1 of 6

Whitby

(Away)
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6
Whitby
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
18 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
19 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
20 Leek Town 9 1 3 5 17:19 6
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)