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Quorn vs Workington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quorn host Workington in the NPL Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Quorn have averaged 1.58 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Workington's 1.64 scored and 1.36 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 2.50) point toward Workington. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Quorn
30%
Draws
37%
Workington
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Workington carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Quorn Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quorn Workington
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.58 1.64
Goals Conceded 2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quorn 30 / 100
Workington 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quorn Workington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quorn's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Quorn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Workington registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quorn VS Workington
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Quorn

(Home)
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
03 Oct
Bamber Bridge
2 : 4
Quorn
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2
Leamington
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0
Quorn
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1
Quorn
Page 1 of 7

Workington

(Away)
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2
Blyth Spartans
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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