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Quy Nhon United vs Ho Chi Minh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup Quy Nhon Stadium, Quy Nhon
Quy Nhon United Logo

Quy Nhon United

Fri, Sep 18, 2026
1 - 2
11:00 AM
Ho Chi Minh City Logo

Ho Chi Minh City

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Dao Gia Viet
56' Event
Lynch J.
1' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Quy Nhon United
15%
Draws
64%
Ho Chi Minh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ho Chi Minh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Quy Nhon United haven't matched Ho Chi Minh City's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ho Chi Minh City taking it.
  • Ho Chi Minh City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ho Chi Minh City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Quy Nhon United Clean Sheet 13%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quy Nhon United Ho Chi Minh City
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Quy Nhon United vs Ho Chi Minh City
1:2
May 3, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Quy Nhon United
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 V.League 2
Quy Nhon United vs Ho Chi Minh City
3:1
Oct 18, 2020 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Quy Nhon United
0:4
Jul 5, 2020 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Quy Nhon United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quy Nhon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Dao Gia Viet
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ho Chi Minh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quy Nhon United 19 / 100
Ho Chi Minh City 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quy Nhon United Ho Chi Minh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ho Chi Minh City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quy Nhon United scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ho Chi Minh City has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Quy Nhon United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quy Nhon United VS Ho Chi Minh City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quy Nhon United

(Home)
18 Sept
Quy Nhon United
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
13 Sept
Thai Nguyen
2 : 1
Quy Nhon United
06 Jun
Long An
1 : 2
Quy Nhon United
30 May
Quy Nhon United
2 : 4
Bac Ninh
24 May
Van Hien
1 : 1
Quy Nhon United
Page 1 of 6

Ho Chi Minh City

(Away)
25 Sept
Ho Chi Minh City
0 : 1
Van Hien
18 Sept
Quy Nhon United
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
12 Sept
Lam Dong
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
06 Jun
Ho Chi Minh City
2 : 0
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 4
Aurora Saigon United 3
Long An 2
Bac Ninh 3
Khanh Hoa 1
Van Hien 2
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Binh Duong 2
Viettel -
TBD -
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh City 2
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Hanoi FC 1
Da Nang 2
Hai Phong 0
Thep Can Tho 1
Lam Dong 0
Song Lam Nghe An 2
PVF-CAND 4
Hue FC 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh -
TBD -
Gia Lai 2
Hung Yen 3
1/8-finals
Cong An Ha Noi -
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai -
Bac Ninh -
Van Hien -
Ho Chi Minh -
Binh Duong -
Viettel -
Ho Chi Minh City -
Nam Dinh -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho -
Da Nang -
Thep Can Tho -
Song Lam Nghe An -
PVF-CAND -
Phu Dong Ninh Binh -
Hung Yen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -