Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Volgograd Arena

Ulyanovsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

R. Volgograd play Ulyanovsk in the FNL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, R. Volgograd averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Ulyanovsk averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, R. Volgograd won 1, Ulyanovsk won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for R. Volgograd and 0.63 for Ulyanovsk. This points to a R. Volgograd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

R. Volgograd

31%

Draws

31%

Ulyanovsk

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: R. Volgograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

R. Volgograd picked up more points recently compared to Ulyanovsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 29%

Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	R. Volgograd	Ulyanovsk
Matches Played	26	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	6	9
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.46	1.14
Goals Conceded	0.92	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 FNL

R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly

R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

1:3

Jul 19, 2025 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs R. Volgograd

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

Sep 24, 2024 Russian Cup

Ulyanovsk vs R. Volgograd

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Oct 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 40 / 100

Ulyanovsk 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

R. Volgograd Ulyanovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: R. Volgograd or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

R. Volgograd attacking → ← attacking Ulyanovsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Ulyanovsk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

R. Volgograd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ulyanovsk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 39

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22