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R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Folmer K.
50' Event
Simonyan A.
53'
Sub
Rakhmanov D. In: Nikitin A.
Out: Rakhmanov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
R. Volgograd
20%
Draws
40%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk haven't matched R. Volgograd's recent run of results.
  • R. Volgograd are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk
0:0
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
R. Volgograd vs Ulyanovsk
1:3
Jul 19, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs R. Volgograd
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 Russian Cup
Ulyanovsk vs R. Volgograd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eldarushev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Folmer K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bagatelia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 77 / 100
Ulyanovsk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

R. Volgograd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS Ulyanovsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
5 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)