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RAAL La Louviere vs Dender

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Easi Arena, La Louvière
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ito J.
23'
De Kerf B.
28'
Sambu M.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between RAAL La Louviere and Dender finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dender.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
RAAL La Louviere
39%
Draws
31%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • RAAL La Louviere carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
RAAL La Louviere Clean Sheet 68%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RAAL La Louviere Dender
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs RAAL La Louviere
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs Dender
0:1
Dec 5, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs Dender
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs RAAL La Louviere
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Dender vs RAAL La Louviere
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RAAL La Louviere 41 / 100
Dender 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RAAL La Louviere Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dender let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

RAAL La Louviere's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

RAAL La Louviere has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RAAL La Louviere VS Dender
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RAAL La Louviere

(Home)
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0
Samsunspor
22 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
1 : 1
Kifisia
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
15 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 1
Virton
11 Jul
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 3
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

Dender

(Away)
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1
Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
13Waregem651015:648
14Cercle Brugge631214:1141
15RAAL La Louviere61055:1334
16Dender62047:1125
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)