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RAAL La Louviere vs RFC Liege - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. RFC Liege have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while RAAL La Louviere have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.19. Past meetings favor RAAL La Louviere slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.75) back RFC Liege to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
RAAL La Louviere
35%
Draws
30%
RFC Liege
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • RFC Liege have won more games recently than RAAL La Louviere.
  • RAAL La Louviere are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • RFC Liege arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RAAL La Louviere, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
RAAL La Louviere Clean Sheet 12%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RAAL La Louviere RFC Liege
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs RAAL La Louviere
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Challenger Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs RFC Liege
3:1
Sep 9, 2023 Belgian Cup
RAAL La Louviere vs RFC Liege
2:0
May 13, 2023 National Division 1
RAAL La Louviere vs RFC Liege
0:3
Dec 18, 2022 National Division 1
RFC Liege vs RAAL La Louviere
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RAAL La Louviere 40 / 100
RFC Liege 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RAAL La Louviere RFC Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFC Liege has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

RAAL La Louviere has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: RAAL La Louviere scored in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

RAAL La Louviere VS RFC Liege
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RAAL La Louviere

(Home)
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
29 Aug
RAAL La Louviere
2 : 2
KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6

RFC Liege

(Away)
01 Oct
Bissen
2 : 2
RFC Liege
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1
Wellen
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4
Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -