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Stadium Background

Raasiku Joker vs FC Ararat

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raasiku Joker in this Esiliiga B 2014 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Raasiku Joker
44%
Draws
20%
FC Ararat
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Raasiku Joker have won more games recently than FC Ararat.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Raasiku Joker have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Ararat, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Raasiku Joker Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raasiku Joker FC Ararat
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker
2:2
Sep 1, 2015 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs FC Ararat
3:2
May 23, 2015 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs FC Ararat
1:4
Apr 26, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker
0:3
Nov 22, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker
6:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raasiku Joker 34 / 100
FC Ararat 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raasiku Joker FC Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raasiku Joker's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

FC Ararat has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Raasiku Joker remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Raasiku Joker VS FC Ararat
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Raasiku Joker

(Home)
22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1
Raasiku Joker
20 Aug
Raasiku Joker
1 : 4
Nomme Utd
27 Jul
Tallinna Wolves
3 : 4
Raasiku Joker
25 Jul
Raasiku Joker
4 : 5
JK Poseidon
05 Nov
Raasiku Joker
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

FC Ararat

(Away)
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0
FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3
FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3
Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6
FC Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Raasiku Joker7
FC Ararat7