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Rabat Ajax vs San Gwann

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rabat Ajax play San Gwann in the Challenge League 2021/2022. San Gwann are favorites here. Recently, Rabat Ajax averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. San Gwann averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Rabat Ajax won 1, San Gwann won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 6, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Rabat Ajax and 1.30 for San Gwann. This points to a San Gwann double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Rabat Ajax
15%
Draws
61%
San Gwann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Gwann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Rabat Ajax picked up more points recently compared to San Gwann.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Rabat Ajax Clean Sheet 19%
San Gwann Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabat Ajax San Gwann
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Rabat Ajax
3:1
Nov 30, 2021 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs San Gwann
2:7
Mar 16, 2018 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Rabat Ajax
5:1
Nov 24, 2017 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs San Gwann
1:5
Mar 11, 2016 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs San Gwann
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabat Ajax 25 / 100
San Gwann 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabat Ajax San Gwann

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Gwann Win (2)
Secondary Pick San Gwann & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rabat Ajax attacking → ← attacking San Gwann

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rabat Ajax scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

San Gwann let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Rabat Ajax went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

San Gwann lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210