Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rabotnicki vs Arsimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Muharem S.
61'
Sub
Bayo F. In: Besagic A.
Out: Bayo F.
61'
Sub
Dardhishta M. In: Huric M.
Out: Dardhishta M.

AI Match Summary

Rabotnicki in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rabotnicki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rabotnicki
15%
Draws
34%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rabotnicki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rabotnicki lately — more wins on the board than Arsimi.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rabotnicki taking it.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 68%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabotnicki Arsimi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.81 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Arsimi
2:0
Mar 10, 2026 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Arsimi
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Rabotnicki
2:2
Sep 24, 2022 Club Friendly
Arsimi vs Rabotnicki
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rabotnicki Compare

Top Goalscorer Muharem S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hodja D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Arsimi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabotnicki 95 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabotnicki Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rabotnicki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rabotnicki scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Arsimi has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rabotnicki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rabotnicki VS Arsimi
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rabotnicki

(Home)
15 Aug
Rabotnicki
3 : 0
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 0
Rabotnicki
28 Jul
Rabotnicki
2 : 1
Gorno Lisice
18 Jul
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Brera Strumica
25 May
Rabotnicki
1 : 3
Tikves
Page 1 of 7

Arsimi

(Away)
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0
Bashkimi
08 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 0
Arsimi
01 Aug
Arsimi
4 : 1
Teteks
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
19 Jul
FK Skopje
2 : 1
Arsimi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)