Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Race vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Race host Ljutomer in the 3. SNL - East. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Race have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Ljutomer's 1.58 scored and 2.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Race slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.75) back Race to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Race
35%
Draws
46%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Race carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Race Clean Sheet 12%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Race Ljutomer
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.96 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 3. SNL - East
Race vs Ljutomer
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Race
1:1
Nov 18, 2023 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Race
1:0
Aug 12, 2023 3. SNL - East
Race vs Ljutomer
0:0
May 3, 2023 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Race
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Race 30 / 100
Ljutomer 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Race Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Attacking prowess: Race scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Race went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Race VS Ljutomer
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Race

(Home)
19 Sept
Race
2 : 2
NK Carda Martjanci
11 Sept
Race
1 : 2
SD Videm
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
26 Aug
Race
0 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
22 Aug
NK Ormoz
2 : 1
Race
Page 1 of 6

Ljutomer

(Away)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 6 5 1 0 19:10 16
2 NK Ormoz 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
3 Fuzinar 6 4 0 2 19:13 12
4 NK Smartno 6 3 1 2 16:13 10
5 Podvinci 6 3 1 2 11:13 10
6 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 13:15 9
7 NK Carda Martjanci 6 2 2 2 16:12 8
8 Ljutomer 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 SD Videm 7 2 2 3 13:17 8
10 Korotan Prevalje 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
11 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
12 Sampion Celje 6 1 1 4 10:13 4
13 Limbus-Pekre 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
14 Race 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)