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Racine vs AS Penarol Prediction & H2H Stats

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Racine
20%
Draws
29%
AS Penarol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Penarol haven't matched Racine's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Racine taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Racine Clean Sheet 20%
AS Penarol Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racine AS Penarol
Matches Played 10 7
Wins 6 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 0.9 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.6 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Racine vs AS Penarol
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racine 40 / 100
AS Penarol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racine AS Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Penarol conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Racine's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Racine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: AS Penarol registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racine VS AS Penarol
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Racine

(Home)
22 Mar
Poto-Poto
0 : 1
Racine
15 Mar
Racine
2 : 1
Congo U17
07 Mar
Racine
0 : 0
AS Penarol
01 Mar
JS Talangai
4 : 0
Racine
21 Feb
Etoile du Congo
1 : 0
Racine
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AS Penarol

(Away)
21 Mar
Otoho d'Oyo
5 : 0
AS Penarol
16 Mar
AS Penarol
1 : 3
JS Talangai
12 Mar
Inter Club
3 : 0
AS Penarol
07 Mar
Racine
0 : 0
AS Penarol
02 Mar
AS Penarol
3 : 1
Juk
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