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Racing Club Aruba vs Caiquetio

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Club Aruba play Caiquetio in the Division di Honor 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing Club Aruba averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Caiquetio averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Racing Club Aruba won 5, Caiquetio won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 3, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Racing Club Aruba and 2.06 for Caiquetio. This points to a Racing Club Aruba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Racing Club Aruba
15%
Draws
41%
Caiquetio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Racing Club Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Club Aruba picked up more points recently compared to Caiquetio.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Racing Club Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Caiquetio Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Aruba Caiquetio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2023 Division di Honor
Racing Club Aruba vs Caiquetio
2:1
Mar 17, 2019 Division di Honor
Racing Club Aruba vs Caiquetio
6:0
Nov 25, 2018 Division di Honor
Caiquetio vs Racing Club Aruba
0:3
Feb 18, 2018 Division di Honor
Caiquetio vs Racing Club Aruba
1:3
Oct 14, 2017 Division di Honor
Racing Club Aruba vs Caiquetio
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Aruba 42 / 100
Caiquetio 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Aruba Caiquetio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Racing Club Aruba or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Racing Club Aruba attacking → ← attacking Caiquetio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Aruba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Caiquetio let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Racing Club Aruba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Caiquetio lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 44
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SV Dakota18141351:1643
2Deportivo Nacional18131440:2440
3Racing Club Aruba18122444:1938
4Estrella1886434:3030
5Britannia1881941:3725
6Bubali1881939:3725
7Brazil Juniors18521124:3317
8La Fama18441019:3916
9Caiquetio18351021:4914
10River Plate18151223:528