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Racing Club Ferrol vs Ponferradina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal da Malata, Ferrol
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Club Ferrol host Ponferradina in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Racing Club Ferrol at 1 goals for, 1.17 against; Ponferradina at 1.13 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Racing Club Ferrol slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.76, favoring Ponferradina. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Racing Club Ferrol
20%
Draws
32%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponferradina have won more games recently than Racing Club Ferrol.
  • Racing Club Ferrol are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 20%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Ponferradina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Racing Club Ferrol
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Ponferradina
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Racing Club Ferrol vs Ponferradina
1:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:2
Jul 24, 2022 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 67 / 100
Ponferradina 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Club Ferrol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Ferrol scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Racing Club Ferrol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ponferradina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Ponferradina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Ferrol

(Home)
17 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
10 Oct
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Ponferradina

(Away)
17 Oct
Zamora
1 : 1
Ponferradina
11 Oct
Ponferradina
0 : 2
Real Aviles
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Mirandes
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)