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Racing Club Ferrol vs Pontevedra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal da Malata, Ferrol
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Monjonell E.
24'
Vidorreta A.
36'
Argos A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Racing Club Ferrol and Pontevedra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Ferrol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Racing Club Ferrol
20%
Draws
24%
Pontevedra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Club Ferrol haven't matched Pontevedra's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Racing Club Ferrol taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 68%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Pontevedra
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Pontevedra
2:0
May 2, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Pontevedra
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Pontevedra vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:5
Feb 19, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Pontevedra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Eto'o E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojeda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pontevedra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 95 / 100
Pontevedra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Pontevedra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Club Ferrol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Ferrol's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pontevedra conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Racing Club Ferrol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Pontevedra
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Ferrol

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra

(Away)
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Racing Club Ferrol 7 4 1 2 8:5 13
4 Cacereno 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
6 Mirandes 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 Zamora 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
8 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
9 CD Extremadura 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
10 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Deportivo Fabril 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
13 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
14 Unionistas de Salamanca 7 2 1 4 10:13 7
15 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
16 Barakaldo 7 1 3 3 6:10 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 7 1 2 4 10:15 5
19 UD Ourense 7 1 2 4 3:10 5
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)