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Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Escudero G.
Assist: Ortegoza U.
26' Event
Marabel J.
Assist: Contrera J.
39'
Insaurralde J.

AI Match Summary

Racing Club in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Racing Club
15%
Draws
46%
Sarmiento Junin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento Junin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sarmiento Junin have won more games recently than Racing Club.
  • Model gives Racing Club a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Racing Club Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Sarmiento Junin
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Profesional
Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin
3:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club
0:0
Jul 24, 2024 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club
1:0
Mar 5, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin
0:1
Oct 20, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Escudero G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sarmiento Junin Compare

Top Goalscorer Marabel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club 59 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Sarmiento Junin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Club scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sarmiento Junin conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Racing Club has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club VS Sarmiento Junin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club

(Home)
05 Oct
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1 : 2
Racing Club
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3
Boca Juniors
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
14 Sept
Huracan
2 : 1
Racing Club
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
3 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
4 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
4 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
5 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
6 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 11 2 2 7 12:17 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)