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Racing des Gonaives vs Violette

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing des Gonaives play Violette in the Championnat National 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing des Gonaives averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1 conceded. Violette averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Racing des Gonaives won 1, Violette won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 13, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Racing des Gonaives and 1.50 for Violette. This points to a Violette double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Racing des Gonaives
35%
Draws
39%
Violette
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Violette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Racing des Gonaives picked up more points recently compared to Violette.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 16%
Violette Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing des Gonaives Violette
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 18
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.44
Goals Conceded 1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2021 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Violette
2:0
Oct 8, 2020 Championnat National
Violette vs Racing des Gonaives
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Violette
0:0
Apr 13, 2019 Championnat National
Violette vs Racing des Gonaives
1:1
Oct 2, 2016 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Violette
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing des Gonaives 27 / 100
Violette 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing des Gonaives Violette

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Violette or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Racing des Gonaives attacking → ← attacking Violette

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing des Gonaives scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Violette let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Racing des Gonaives went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Violette lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 62
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Don Bosco844014:516
2Mirebalais93608:515
3Ouanaminthe94328:615
4Rivartibonitienne93517:614
5Arcahaie63307:112
6Cavaly63309:412
7Fica93335:412
8Tempete83327:812
9AS Capoise93246:511
10Triomphe Liancourt82428:610
11Real du Cap931510:1110
12Violette92437:810
13Racing des Gonaives92434:710
14America des Cayes72237:78
15Juventus82245:88
16Baltimore81346:96
17Racing Haitien81348:166
18Cosmopolites71153:134