Sport Picks
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
USA
NWSL Women 2025 Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
6'
6'
Wright A.
46'
46'
Sub
Anderson J. In: Boade T.
Out: Anderson J.
46'
46'
Sub
Moreau M. In: Malonson A.
Out: Moreau M.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women 2025 game between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Louisville W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bay FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Racing Louisville W have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Bay FC W are scoring more at 1.13.
- Win probability leans Bay FC W's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular NWSL Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bay FC W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 13%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Louisville W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hase E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bay FC W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Louisville W 14 / 100
Bay FC W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Louisville W Bay FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bay FC W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Racing Louisville W scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Racing Louisville W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Racing Louisville W VS Bay FC W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Louisville W
(Home) 30 Jul
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Racing Louisville W
27 Jul
Angel City W
1 : 2 Racing Louisville W
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
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Bay FC W
(Away) 30 Jul
Bay FC W
0 : 1 Gotham FC W
25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0 North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
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25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Bay FC W
21 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 49:13 | 65 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42:33 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:29 | 39 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 8 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 36 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:42 | 25 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:41 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32:54 | 20 |
Promotion - NWSL Women 2025 (Play Offs)
