Sport Picks
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
USA
NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
21'
21'
Fuller K.
28'
28'
Moreau M.
46'
46'
Sub
Petersen C. In: McMahon Q.
Out: Petersen C.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bay FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bay FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Bay FC W's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Racing Louisville W have produced (0.75).
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Bay FC W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bay FC W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 17%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Louisville W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Louisville W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bay FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Fuller K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lema K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Louisville W 23 / 100
Bay FC W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Louisville W Bay FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bay FC W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Racing Louisville W scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Racing Louisville W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Racing Louisville W VS Bay FC W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Louisville W
(Home) 19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 5
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
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Bay FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0 North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Bay FC W
21 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 8 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)