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Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY
Racing Louisville W Logo

Racing Louisville W

2 - 1
FT
Chicago Stars W Logo

Chicago Stars W

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Ouahabi L.
46'
Sub
Grosso J. In: Dellarose T. E.
Out: Grosso J.
46'
Sub
Wood T. In: Bike J.
Out: Wood T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Chicago Stars W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Louisville W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Racing Louisville W
20%
Draws
40%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chicago Stars W haven't matched Racing Louisville W's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Racing Louisville W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 18%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Louisville W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Racing Louisville W
3:2
Aug 1, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W
0:0
Oct 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Racing Louisville W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gacioch M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Chicago Stars W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Louisville W 85 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Louisville W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Louisville W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Stars W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Racing Louisville W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Chicago Stars W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Louisville W VS Chicago Stars W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Louisville W

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Angel City W
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Stars W

(Away)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)