Sport Picks
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
8'
8'
McMahon Q.
13'
13'
Ijeh E.
Assist: Matsukubo M.
22'
22'
Sub
Bloomer J. In: Prohaska M.
Out: Bloomer J.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and North Carolina Courage W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina Courage W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Carolina Courage W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and North Carolina Courage W come out ahead of Racing Louisville W on wins alone.
- North Carolina Courage W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Louisville W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Racing Louisville W
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wright A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ijeh E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Louisville W North Carolina Courage W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Louisville W scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
North Carolina Courage W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: North Carolina Courage W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Racing Louisville W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Louisville W
(Home) 25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
19 Aug
Racing Louisville W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
15 Aug
Racing Louisville W
4 : 1 Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 3
North Carolina Courage W
(Away) 27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
08 Aug
Washington Spirit W
3 : 4 North Carolina Courage W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 34:20 | 54 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:27 | 48 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 43:34 | 45 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44:28 | 42 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43:37 | 41 |
| 8 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 49:39 | 39 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 35:41 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:36 | 30 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:37 | 26 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy W | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 32:44 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 35:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15:60 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
