Sport Picks
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
11'
11'
Hammond M.
33'
33'
Hodge M.
42'
42'
O'Kane K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Utah Royals W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Utah Royals W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Utah Royals W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Utah Royals W a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 13%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Louisville W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W
1:1
May 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
3:2
Jun 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W
3:2
Sep 28, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Louisville W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Utah Royals W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mozingo B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Louisville W 19 / 100
Utah Royals W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Louisville W Utah Royals W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Utah Royals W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Racing Louisville W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Utah Royals W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Racing Louisville W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Racing Louisville W VS Utah Royals W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Louisville W
(Home) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
19 Aug
Racing Louisville W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 3
Utah Royals W
(Away) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3 Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2 Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 Utah Royals W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
09 Aug
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
