Sport Picks

Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto

Racing Montevideo

0 - 0

Defensor Sp.

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Machado A.

46'

Sub

Suarez F. In: Da Silva S.

Out: Suarez F.

67'

Sub

Habib T. In: Sosa N.

Out: Habib T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Racing Montevideo

33%

Draws

27%

Defensor Sp.

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Racing Montevideo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Racing Montevideo lately — more wins on the board than Defensor Sp..
40% — that's where the model lands on Racing Montevideo taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 16%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 68%

Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Racing Montevideo	Defensor Sp.
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	12	6
Draws	9	11
Losses	5	11
Goals Scored	0.5	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Apr 18, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Aug 17, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Feb 16, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Racing Montevideo

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Oct 24, 2024 Copa Uruguay

Defensor Sp. vs Racing Montevideo

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Montevideo 50 / 100

Defensor Sp. 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Racing Montevideo Defensor Sp.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Montevideo scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Racing Montevideo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensor Sp. let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Racing Montevideo VS Defensor Sp.

0.5 Goals Scored 0.63

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	6	4	1	1	9:3	13
2	Cerro Largo	5	2	2	1	6:2	8
3	Central Esp.	5	2	2	1	4:3	8
4	Racing Montevideo	5	1	4	0	3:2	7
5	CA Cerro	5	2	0	3	4:8	6
6	Liverpool M.	5	1	2	2	3:4	5
7	Boston River	6	1	2	3	5:9	5
8	Defensor Sp.	5	0	3	2	3:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wanderers	6	3	3	0	10:4	12
2	Maldonado	6	3	2	1	12:6	11
3	Club Nacional	6	3	1	2	6:7	10
4	Montevideo City	5	3	0	2	10:9	9
5	Juventud	6	2	1	3	8:11	7
6	Progreso	6	2	0	4	5:9	6
7	Albion	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
8	Danubio	5	0	3	2	3:6	3