Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Montevideo vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Alvarez F.
27'
Cairus F.
37'
Alvarez Wallace A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Racing Montevideo and Juventud finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Montevideo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Racing Montevideo
20%
Draws
36%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Montevideo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Racing Montevideo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Racing Montevideo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Montevideo Juventud
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
2:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
0:0
Jun 8, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
1:0
Jul 25, 2022 Segunda Division
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimbacas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Montevideo 59 / 100
Juventud 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Montevideo Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Montevideo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Racing Montevideo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Racing Montevideo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Juventud has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Racing Montevideo VS Juventud
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Montevideo

(Home)
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0
Albion
23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
15 Aug
Racing Montevideo
2 : 0
Club Nacional
10 Aug
Maldonado
2 : 2
Racing Montevideo
02 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0
Boston River
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Juventud

(Away)
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
26 Aug
Juventud
1 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Juventud
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)