Sport Picks
Racing Montevideo vs Montevideo City
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo 
Match Events
17'
17'
Ferreira M.
20'
20'
Da Silva N.
30'
30'
Vazquez A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Racing Montevideo and Montevideo City finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevideo City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montevideo City come out ahead of Racing Montevideo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Montevideo City's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 11%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Montevideo | Montevideo City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Montevideo City
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Racing Montevideo
4:0
Jun 29, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Montevideo City
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Montevideo City
3:1
Nov 14, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Montevideo City
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Montevideo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Montevideo City Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Silva N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
Montevideo City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Montevideo Montevideo City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Montevideo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Montevideo City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Racing Montevideo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Racing Montevideo VS Montevideo City
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Montevideo
(Home) 20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4 Central Esp.
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4 Central Esp.
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0 Albion
15 Aug
Racing Montevideo
2 : 0 Club Nacional
02 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0 Boston River
Page 1 of 3
Montevideo City
(Away) 24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3 Atenas
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4 Montevideo City
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4 Montevideo City
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3 Montevideo City
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 0 Montevideo City
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
