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Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Montevideo host Wanderers in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Racing Montevideo at 1 goals for, 1 against; Wanderers at 1.43 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Racing Montevideo have won 3 to Wanderers's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Racing Montevideo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Racing Montevideo
20%
Draws
57%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 16%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Montevideo Wanderers
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
1:0
Feb 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Montevideo 19 / 100
Wanderers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Montevideo Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Montevideo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Racing Montevideo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Montevideo VS Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Montevideo

(Home)
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Wanderers

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Wanderers
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)