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Racing Murcia vs CD Algar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Bianco L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Racing Murcia and CD Algar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Murcia
15%
Draws
85%
CD Algar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Algar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Algar haven't matched Racing Murcia's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Algar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 10%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia CD Algar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs CD Algar
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Racing Murcia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Algar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 10 / 100
CD Algar 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia CD Algar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Algar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Algar conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Racing Murcia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Algar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Murcia VS CD Algar
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Murcia

(Home)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6

CD Algar

(Away)
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
10 May
CD Algar
4 : 3
Plus Ultra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)