Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bianco L.
26' Event
Diaz M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Racing Murcia and Ciudad de Murcia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Murcia
20%
Draws
80%
Ciudad de Murcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad de Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad de Murcia haven't matched Racing Murcia's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Murcia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 16%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia Ciudad de Murcia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Racing Murcia
3:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:1
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Racing Murcia
2:1
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 10 / 100
Ciudad de Murcia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia Ciudad de Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Murcia has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Racing Murcia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ciudad de Murcia's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Murcia VS Ciudad de Murcia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Murcia

(Home)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad de Murcia

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)