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Racing Power W vs Valadares Gaia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Nogueira A.
Assist: Silva J.
61'
Sub
Silva I. In: Mulot M.
Out: Silva I.
64'
Sub
Esteves Rocha C. In: Yosue S.
Out: Esteves Rocha C.

AI Match Summary

Racing Power W in this Liga BPI Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Power W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Racing Power W
30%
Draws
31%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Racing Power W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valadares Gaia W lately — more wins on the board than Racing Power W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Racing Power W Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Power W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Racing Power W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Racing Power W
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Power W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Power W 41 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Power W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Power W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Racing Power W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Valadares Gaia W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Power W VS Valadares Gaia W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Power W

(Home)
04 Oct
Racing Power W
1 : 2
FC Porto W
27 Sept
FC Porto W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
Page 1 of 6

Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
3 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
4 Braga W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
5 FC Porto W 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Racing Power W 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
9 Rio Ave W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)