Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024

Racing Rioja

1 - 2

Casalarreina CF

Our Tip

Match Events

Baztan A.

86'

Clemente E.

89'

Palmerola D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casalarreina CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Racing Rioja

Draws

90%

Casalarreina CF

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casalarreina CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Casalarreina CF average 0.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Racing Rioja's 0.
Win probability leans Casalarreina CF's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 20%

Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Racing Rioja	Casalarreina CF
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	9
Draws	5	3
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Racing Rioja vs Casalarreina CF

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Racing Rioja

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Racing Rioja vs Casalarreina CF

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Racing Rioja

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmerola D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Baztan A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Clemente E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 10 / 100

Casalarreina CF 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Racing Rioja Casalarreina CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Casalarreina CF conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Racing Rioja found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Casalarreina CF has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casalarreina CF

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 2.75

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Logrones B	34	23	7	4	67:19	76
2	Alfaro	34	23	7	4	80:36	76
3	CD Calahorra B	34	20	7	7	70:34	67
4	Anguiano	34	19	8	7	69:41	65
5	Varea	34	18	7	9	59:31	61
6	Oyonesa	34	17	7	10	46:28	58
7	Casalarreina CF	34	15	10	9	57:49	55
8	CDFC La Calzada	34	13	9	12	52:43	48
9	Berceo	34	13	8	13	43:44	47
10	Arnedo	34	11	9	14	36:48	42
11	Pena Balsamaiso	34	12	6	16	51:62	42
12	Racing Rioja	34	11	6	17	37:55	39
13	River Ebro	34	10	8	16	40:50	38
14	Vianes	34	9	6	19	30:62	33
15	Haro Deportivo	34	8	7	19	38:50	31
16	CD Tedeon	34	8	6	20	25:61	30
17	Comillas CF	34	3	15	16	38:59	24
18	CCD Alberite	34	4	5	25	37:103	17