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Racing Rioja vs CDFC La Calzada

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Santamaria I.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Santamaria I.
71' Event
Soto D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between Racing Rioja and CDFC La Calzada finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Rioja
15%
Draws
85%
CDFC La Calzada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Rioja haven't matched CDFC La Calzada's recent run of results.
  • CDFC La Calzada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 24%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Rioja CDFC La Calzada
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs CDFC La Calzada
0:4
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Racing Rioja
0:0
Aug 4, 2021 Club Friendly
CDFC La Calzada vs Racing Rioja
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 10 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Rioja CDFC La Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CDFC La Calzada conceded in 69% of 39 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Racing Rioja's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: CDFC La Calzada registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CDFC La Calzada
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Rioja

(Home)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

CDFC La Calzada

(Away)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)