Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024

Pena Balsamaiso

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Racing Rioja play Pena Balsamaiso in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing Rioja averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Pena Balsamaiso averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Racing Rioja won 1, Pena Balsamaiso won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 24, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Racing Rioja and 0.93 for Pena Balsamaiso. This points to a Racing Rioja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Racing Rioja

39%

Draws

31%

Pena Balsamaiso

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Racing Rioja has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pena Balsamaiso.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 68%

Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Racing Rioja	Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	9	4
Draws	5	13
Losses	16	23
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Racing Rioja vs Pena Balsamaiso

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Pena Balsamaiso vs Racing Rioja

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Tata O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 41 / 100

Pena Balsamaiso 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Racing Rioja Pena Balsamaiso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Rioja scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pena Balsamaiso let in goals in 90% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Racing Rioja went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Pena Balsamaiso lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena Balsamaiso

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 2.13

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Logrones B	34	23	7	4	67:19	76
2	Alfaro	34	23	7	4	80:36	76
3	CD Calahorra B	34	20	7	7	70:34	67
4	Anguiano	34	19	8	7	69:41	65
5	Varea	34	18	7	9	59:31	61
6	Oyonesa	34	17	7	10	46:28	58
7	Casalarreina CF	34	15	10	9	57:49	55
8	CDFC La Calzada	34	13	9	12	52:43	48
9	Berceo	34	13	8	13	43:44	47
10	Arnedo	34	11	9	14	36:48	42
11	Pena Balsamaiso	34	12	6	16	51:62	42
12	Racing Rioja	34	11	6	17	37:55	39
13	River Ebro	34	10	8	16	40:50	38
14	Vianes	34	9	6	19	30:62	33
15	Haro Deportivo	34	8	7	19	38:50	31
16	CD Tedeon	34	8	6	20	25:61	30
17	Comillas CF	34	3	15	16	38:59	24
18	CCD Alberite	34	4	5	25	37:103	17