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Racing Rioja vs Varea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Perez R.
43' Event
Barcina T.
46' Event
Perez R.

AI Match Summary

Varea in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Rioja
35%
Draws
65%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varea lately — more wins on the board than Racing Rioja.
  • Varea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 19%
Varea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Rioja Varea
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 9 24
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Varea
0:4
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Racing Rioja
2:2
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Varea
1:1
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Racing Rioja
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barcina T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 10 / 100
Varea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Rioja Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varea conceded in 62% of 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Racing Rioja scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Varea registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varea
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Rioja

(Home)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

Varea

(Away)
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)