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Racing Santander vs Ath Bilbao

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Arevalo J. In: Yurrieta Incera I.
Out: Arevalo J.
28'
Sub
Egiluz U. In: De Luis J.
Out: Egiluz U.
46'
Sub
Yurrieta Incera I. In: Michelin C.
Out: Yurrieta Incera I.

AI Match Summary

Racing Santander in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Santander.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Racing Santander
20%
Draws
46%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao haven't matched Racing Santander's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 14%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Santander Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Ath Bilbao
0:3
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Ath Bilbao
2:1
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Ath Bilbao
1:2
Jul 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Ath Bilbao
0:0
Aug 4, 2019 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Ath Bilbao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ath Bilbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Vesga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Santander 10 / 100
Ath Bilbao 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Santander Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Santander scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Ath Bilbao let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Racing Santander stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Santander VS Ath Bilbao
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Santander

(Home)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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Ath Bilbao

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
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