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Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sardinero, Santander
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Santander host Real Sociedad in the LaLiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Racing Santander at 1.76 goals for, 2 against; Real Sociedad at 1.84 for, 1.74 against. Past meetings favor Real Sociedad slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.44) back Racing Santander to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Racing Santander
20%
Draws
47%
Real Sociedad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Sociedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Santander have won more games recently than Real Sociedad.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Real Sociedad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Santander Real Sociedad
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.84
Goals Conceded 2 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
1:1
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
1:0
Jan 30, 2014 Copa del Rey
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
0:3
Jan 22, 2014 Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
3:1
Apr 28, 2012 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Santander 10 / 100
Real Sociedad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Santander Real Sociedad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Sociedad conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Racing Santander scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Racing Santander stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Santander VS Real Sociedad
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Santander

(Home)
01 Nov
Racing Santander
0 : 3
Real Madrid
29 Oct
Ribadesella CF
0 : 2
Racing Santander
24 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Espanyol
18 Oct
Osasuna
2 : 0
Racing Santander
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

Real Sociedad

(Away)
01 Nov
Ath Bilbao
2 : 1
Real Sociedad
25 Oct
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Levante
22 Oct
Lillestrom
0 : 6
Real Sociedad
18 Oct
Malaga
2 : 5
Real Sociedad
15 Oct
Royale Union SG
1 : 1
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)