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Racing vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Niang I.
69' Event
Baradhi E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Racing and Al Ahed finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing
20%
Draws
80%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahed carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Ahed a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahed have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Al Ahed
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 0 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 29 12
Goals Scored 0.27 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
0:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Racing
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
0:4
Jun 24, 2024 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
1:4
May 16, 2024 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 10 / 100
Al Ahed 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahed Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahed let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Al Ahed's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Racing's goal record stands at 27% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Racing VS Al Ahed
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing

(Home)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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Al Ahed

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)