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Racing vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Niang I.
69' Event
Baradhi E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Racing and Al Ahed finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Racing
6%
Draws
90%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ahed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahed carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Ahed a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahed have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Al Ahed
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 2 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 29 11
Goals Scored 0.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
0:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Racing
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
0:4
Jun 24, 2024 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
1:4
May 16, 2024 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ahed
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 10 / 100
Al Ahed 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahed let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Racing's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Al Ahed's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing VS Al Ahed
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010