Sport Picks

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Racing vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mehanna H.
Assist: El Hayek M.
43' Event
Haider H.
Assist: Mehanna H.
45' Event
Sabra M.
Assist: El Hayek M.

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing
15%
Draws
85%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing haven't matched Safa's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Safa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Safa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Safa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 31 10
Goals Scored 0.44 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Safa vs Racing
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Safa
1:6
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Safa vs Racing
4:1
May 20, 2024 Premier League
Racing vs Safa
1:1
Mar 14, 2024 Premier League
Racing vs Safa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Top Goalscorer Moussawi A. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Haider H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mehanna H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 10 / 100
Safa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Safa conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Racing's goal record stands at 35% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Safa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing VS Safa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing

(Home)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)