Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rade vs Follo

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fofana M.
57' Event
Diallo H.
64' Event
Bjornvag A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Rade
15%
Draws
37%
Follo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Rade have won more games recently than Follo.
  • Win probability leans Rade's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Rade have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Follo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Rade Clean Sheet 16%
Follo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rade Follo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2.71 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NM Cup
Rade vs Follo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornvag A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Follo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diallo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rade 66 / 100
Follo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rade Follo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rade found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Follo let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rade went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rade VS Follo
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rade

(Home)
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Rade
2 : 0
Gjovik-Lyn
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2
Follo
15 Aug
Rade
3 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
Page 1 of 6

Follo

(Away)
12 Sept
Levanger
5 : 2
Follo
05 Sept
Follo
1 : 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
30 Aug
Honefoss
2 : 1
Follo
26 Aug
Rana FK
3 : 3
Follo
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2
Follo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
1/32-finals
Alta -
Tromso -
Floya -
Rosenborg -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Levanger -
Ranheim -
Stjordals Blink -
Fredrikstad -
Trygg/Lade -
Molde -
Brattvag -
Kristiansund -
Traeff -
Hodd -
Forde -
Aalesund -
Sotra -
Sogndal -
Sandviken -
Asane -
OS TF -
Brann -
Bjarg -
Bryne -
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Madla IL -
Viking -
Vindbjart -
Start -
Jerv -
Egersund -
Arendal -
Sandnes Ulf -
Pors -
Stabaek -
Notodden -
Odds BK -
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum -
Raufoss -
Eidsvold TF -
Kongsvinger -
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Skeid -
Valerenga -
Kjelsas -
Ham-Kam -
Gamle Oslo -
Lyn -
Grorud -
Moss -
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
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Semi-finals
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