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Rade vs Lillehammer Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nygard M.
39' Event
Leqvamb A. M.
57' Event
Leqvamb A. M.

AI Match Summary

Lillehammer in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillehammer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rade
15%
Draws
54%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillehammer have won more games recently than Rade.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Lillehammer taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rade Lillehammer
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.79 3.34
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Rade vs Lillehammer
1:5
May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillehammer vs Rade
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasanagic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Lillehammer Compare

Top Goalscorer Leqvamb A. M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nygard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rade 10 / 100
Lillehammer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rade Lillehammer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rade found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Lillehammer conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rade remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rade VS Lillehammer
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rade

(Home)
26 Sept
Rade
1 : 5
Lillehammer
19 Sept
Fram
1 : 1
Rade
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Rade
2 : 0
Gjovik-Lyn
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
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Lillehammer

(Away)
03 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Oppsal
26 Sept
Rade
1 : 5
Lillehammer
19 Sept
Lillehammer
7 : 1
Bjorkelangen
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
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