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Rade vs Orn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Knutsen T.
46' Event
Mayonga M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Rade and Orn finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Rade
15%
Draws
32%
Orn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orn come out ahead of Rade on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rade's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rade Orn
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.78 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Rade vs Orn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayonga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Orn Compare

Top Goalscorer Knutsen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rade 83 / 100
Orn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rade Orn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orn has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Rade scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rade remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rade VS Orn
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rade

(Home)
09 Aug
Raelingen
1 : 1
Rade
01 Aug
Rade
8 : 1
Bjorkelangen
25 Jul
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 3
Rade
28 Jun
Rade
3 : 5
Lyn 2
20 Jun
Drobak-Frogn
1 : 2
Rade
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Orn

(Away)
08 Aug
Elverum
1 : 0
Orn
01 Aug
Orn
0 : 2
Raelingen
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
27 Jun
Orn
4 : 3
Sandefjord 2
20 Jun
Gjovik-Lyn
3 : 0
Orn
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