Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Machraoui A.
25'
25'
Machraoui A.
53'
53'
Boulaares Y.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Rades and Megrine finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Megrine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rades
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Rades haven't matched Megrine's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rades Clean Sheet 11%
Megrine Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rades | Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 2 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue 2
Rades vs Megrine
1:8
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Rades
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rades Compare
Top Goalscorer Boulaares Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Megrine Compare
Top Goalscorer Machraoui A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Amara M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rades 30 / 100
Megrine 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rades Megrine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Megrine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.
Rades went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Rades scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Rades VS Megrine
0 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rades
(Home) 08 Feb
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Rades
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
17 May
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 1 Rades
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
04 May
AS Marsa
3 : 0 Rades
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Rades
1 : 8 Megrine
05 Apr
Rades
0 : 2 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 3
Megrine
(Away) 11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
22 Feb
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Megrine
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
