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Rades vs Moknine Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ouada K.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Chaouachi H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Rades and Moknine finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rades
20%
Draws
40%
Moknine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moknine come out ahead of Rades on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rades Clean Sheet 10%
Moknine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rades Moknine
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Rades vs Moknine
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Rades
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rades Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaouachi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Moknine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rades 34 / 100
Moknine 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rades Moknine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moknine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moknine let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Rades has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rades's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rades VS Moknine
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rades

(Home)
08 Feb
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Rades
24 May
Rades
1 : 1
Moknine
17 May
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 1
Rades
10 May
Rades
1 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
04 May
AS Marsa
3 : 0
Rades
Page 1 of 6

Moknine

(Away)
27 Sept
Moknine
0 : 3
Redeyef
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1
Ariana
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Moknine
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1
Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3
Moknine
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)