Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Radevac vs Macva Bogatic

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 game between Radevac and Macva Bogatic finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Radevac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Radevac
35%
Draws
55%
Macva Bogatic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macva Bogatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Macva Bogatic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Macva Bogatic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Radevac Clean Sheet 16%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radevac Macva Bogatic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.72 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Radevac
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Radevac vs Macva Bogatic
1:0
Mar 19, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Radevac
1:0
Aug 29, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Radevac vs Macva Bogatic
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radevac 10 / 100
Macva Bogatic 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radevac Macva Bogatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Bogatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macva Bogatic has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Radevac scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Radevac went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radevac VS Macva Bogatic
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Radevac

(Home)
15 Aug
Radnicki Valjevo
1 : 0
Radevac
10 Jun
FAP
1 : 1
Radevac
03 Jun
Radevac
0 : 1
Borac 1926
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
Radevac
2 : 3
Mladi Radnik
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Macva Bogatic

(Away)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
Promotion - Prva Liga 2023/2024 (Main)