Sport Picks

Serbia

Srpska Liga - East

Brzi Brod

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Radnicki Pirot play Brzi Brod in the Srpska Liga - East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Radnicki Pirot averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Brzi Brod averaged 2.43 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Radnicki Pirot won 3, Brzi Brod won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Radnicki Pirot and 2.63 for Brzi Brod. This points to a Brzi Brod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Radnicki Pirot

15%

Draws

46%

Brzi Brod

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brzi Brod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Radnicki Pirot picked up more points recently compared to Brzi Brod.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Radnicki Pirot Clean Sheet 10%

Brzi Brod Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Radnicki Pirot	Brzi Brod
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	18
Draws	6	5
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.97	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.67	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Srpska Liga - East

Radnicki Pirot vs Brzi Brod

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Sep 21, 2025 Srpska Liga - East

Brzi Brod vs Radnicki Pirot

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Mar 23, 2025 Srpska Liga - East

Brzi Brod vs Radnicki Pirot

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Aug 25, 2024 Srpska Liga - East

Radnicki Pirot vs Brzi Brod

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Mar 26, 2023 Srpska Liga - East

Brzi Brod vs Radnicki Pirot

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki Pirot 37 / 100

Brzi Brod 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Radnicki Pirot Brzi Brod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brzi Brod or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Radnicki Pirot attacking → ← attacking Brzi Brod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radnicki Pirot scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Brzi Brod let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Radnicki Pirot went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Brzi Brod lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 59

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25