Sport Picks

Serbia

Srpska Liga - West

OFK Napredak

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Radnicki Valjevo play OFK Napredak in the Srpska Liga - West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Radnicki Valjevo averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. OFK Napredak averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Radnicki Valjevo won 1, OFK Napredak won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Radnicki Valjevo and 1.63 for OFK Napredak. This points to a Radnicki Valjevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Radnicki Valjevo

32%

Draws

31%

OFK Napredak

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Radnicki Valjevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Radnicki Valjevo picked up more points recently compared to OFK Napredak.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Radnicki Valjevo Clean Sheet 14%

OFK Napredak Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Radnicki Valjevo	OFK Napredak
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	8
Draws	5	14
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.43	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Srpska Liga - West

Radnicki Valjevo vs OFK Napredak

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Aug 30, 2025 Srpska Liga - West

OFK Napredak vs Radnicki Valjevo

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki Valjevo 36 / 100

OFK Napredak 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Radnicki Valjevo OFK Napredak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Radnicki Valjevo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Radnicki Valjevo attacking → ← attacking OFK Napredak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radnicki Valjevo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

OFK Napredak let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Radnicki Valjevo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

OFK Napredak lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 38

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Metalac	30	20	8	2	52:17	68
2	Real Podunavci	30	13	10	7	37:29	49
3	Radnicki Valjevo	30	13	5	12	43:38	44
4	Zeleznicar Lajkovac	30	11	10	9	42:30	43
5	Omladinac Zablace	30	10	12	8	36:30	42
6	FK Zlatibor Cajetina	30	11	8	11	29:33	41
7	Sloboda	30	9	14	7	33:24	41
8	Buducnost Krusik	30	10	10	10	34:33	40
9	Jedinstvo Putevi	30	11	6	13	35:39	39
10	FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac	30	9	12	9	29:28	39
11	OFK Napredak	30	8	14	8	36:33	38
12	Takovo	30	9	10	11	23:29	37
13	Sloga Pozega	30	9	9	12	29:33	36
14	Mladi Radnik Radinac	30	9	7	14	31:52	34
15	Josanica	30	6	10	14	30:45	28
16	Polimlje	30	5	9	16	24:50	24